Variable cloud cover and scattered convective showers typical of late-August monsoon conditions in the Sichuan Basin remain the dominant driver keeping trader sentiment tightly split between 27°C and 28°C. Official model guidance places the expected maximum near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies, yet afternoon thunderstorm development can reduce surface insolation by 2–3°C and cap readings at or below 28°C, consistent with climatological patterns where August daily highs average 29–30°C. Updated short-range forecasts from the next 24–48 hours, including revised moisture and instability parameters, will likely resolve the narrow 3-percentage-point gap between the two leading outcomes before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 19?
28°C 32%
27°C 29%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
29%
28°C
32%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
27°C 29%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
29%
28°C
32%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Variable cloud cover and scattered convective showers typical of late-August monsoon conditions in the Sichuan Basin remain the dominant driver keeping trader sentiment tightly split between 27°C and 28°C. Official model guidance places the expected maximum near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies, yet afternoon thunderstorm development can reduce surface insolation by 2–3°C and cap readings at or below 28°C, consistent with climatological patterns where August daily highs average 29–30°C. Updated short-range forecasts from the next 24–48 hours, including revised moisture and instability parameters, will likely resolve the narrow 3-percentage-point gap between the two leading outcomes before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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