Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow drawing cooler Baltic maritime air, which limits daytime heating close to late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This positions 20°C and 21°C as the market leaders at 29.5% and 41.0% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical August highs in the region rarely exceed 22°C after mid-month, while any shift toward clearer skies or reduced onshore flow could support the lower-probability 22°C outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 19?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 19?
21°C 42%
20°C 31%
22°C 18%
19°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
31%
21°C
42%
22°C
18%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
20°C 31%
22°C 18%
19°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$127 KL.
<1%
17°C
$214 KL.
1%
18°C
$245 KL.
2%
19°C
$109 KL.
9%
20°C
$399 KL.
31%
21°C
$162 KL.
42%
22°C
$167 KL.
18%
23°C
$422 KL.
4%
24°C
$52 KL.
2%
25°C
$115 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$271 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow drawing cooler Baltic maritime air, which limits daytime heating close to late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This positions 20°C and 21°C as the market leaders at 29.5% and 41.0% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical August highs in the region rarely exceed 22°C after mid-month, while any shift toward clearer skies or reduced onshore flow could support the lower-probability 22°C outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,283Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow drawing cooler Baltic maritime air, which limits daytime heating close to late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This positions 20°C and 21°C as the market leaders at 29.5% and 41.0% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical August highs in the region rarely exceed 22°C after mid-month, while any shift toward clearer skies or reduced onshore flow could support the lower-probability 22°C outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,283Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow drawing cooler Baltic maritime air, which limits daytime heating close to late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This positions 20°C and 21°C as the market leaders at 29.5% and 41.0% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical August highs in the region rarely exceed 22°C after mid-month, while any shift toward clearer skies or reduced onshore flow could support the lower-probability 22°C outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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