Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow's August 19 maximum most likely reaching 18–20°C, with trader consensus split between the 19°C and 18°C bins reflecting minor model spread on cloud cover and timing of light showers. Southwesterly flow and increasing mid-level moisture are expected to limit daytime solar heating while preventing strong advection of warmer air, keeping peaks near seasonal norms rather than the 22°C+ outliers seen earlier in August. Resolution hinges on official station data capturing the exact peak amid variable insolation; any delay in frontal passage could nudge readings toward 20°C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor 18°C or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 32%
18°C 28%
20°C 16%
17°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
12%
18°C
28%
19°C
32%
20°C
16%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 32%
18°C 28%
20°C 16%
17°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$460 KL.
5%
17°C
$79 KL.
12%
18°C
$35 KL.
28%
19°C
$18 KL.
32%
20°C
$166 KL.
16%
21°C
$41 KL.
7%
22°C
$12 KL.
3%
23°C
$110 KL.
3%
24°C
$1,052 KL.
1%
25°C
$5 KL.
5%
26°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow's August 19 maximum most likely reaching 18–20°C, with trader consensus split between the 19°C and 18°C bins reflecting minor model spread on cloud cover and timing of light showers. Southwesterly flow and increasing mid-level moisture are expected to limit daytime solar heating while preventing strong advection of warmer air, keeping peaks near seasonal norms rather than the 22°C+ outliers seen earlier in August. Resolution hinges on official station data capturing the exact peak amid variable insolation; any delay in frontal passage could nudge readings toward 20°C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor 18°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,984Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow's August 19 maximum most likely reaching 18–20°C, with trader consensus split between the 19°C and 18°C bins reflecting minor model spread on cloud cover and timing of light showers. Southwesterly flow and increasing mid-level moisture are expected to limit daytime solar heating while preventing strong advection of warmer air, keeping peaks near seasonal norms rather than the 22°C+ outliers seen earlier in August. Resolution hinges on official station data capturing the exact peak amid variable insolation; any delay in frontal passage could nudge readings toward 20°C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor 18°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,984Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow's August 19 maximum most likely reaching 18–20°C, with trader consensus split between the 19°C and 18°C bins reflecting minor model spread on cloud cover and timing of light showers. Southwesterly flow and increasing mid-level moisture are expected to limit daytime solar heating while preventing strong advection of warmer air, keeping peaks near seasonal norms rather than the 22°C+ outliers seen earlier in August. Resolution hinges on official station data capturing the exact peak amid variable insolation; any delay in frontal passage could nudge readings toward 20°C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor 18°C or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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