Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show peak daytime temperatures in Milan on August 19 centered on 32–33°C under broken cloud cover with light easterly winds, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Diurnal heating rates, urban heat island effects, and minor variations in cloud timing create the narrow uncertainty band separating 31°C from 34°C scenarios. Current conditions remain above the long-term August average high near 28°C, with no strong synoptic features like troughs or advection expected to shift the range significantly before resolution. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 19?
33°C 50%
32°C 38%
34°C 9%
31°C 5%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
38%
33°C
50%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 50%
32°C 38%
34°C 9%
31°C 5%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
38%
33°C
50%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show peak daytime temperatures in Milan on August 19 centered on 32–33°C under broken cloud cover with light easterly winds, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Diurnal heating rates, urban heat island effects, and minor variations in cloud timing create the narrow uncertainty band separating 31°C from 34°C scenarios. Current conditions remain above the long-term August average high near 28°C, with no strong synoptic features like troughs or advection expected to shift the range significantly before resolution. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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