Trader consensus on Munich's August 19 maximum temperature shows notable uncertainty, with 27°C and 28°C capturing the highest market-implied odds amid closely matched probabilities. Short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and ICON reveal tight spreads around these thresholds, driven by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage or high-pressure ridge influencing the region. Official guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst emphasizes that small shifts in dewpoint or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C, consistent with historical late-summer variability in southern Germany. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds as resolution criteria near.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 19?
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
$143 KL.
2%
25°C
$81 KL.
4%
26°C
$112 KL.
19%
27°C
$470 KL.
34%
28°C
$38 KL.
27%
29°C
$609 KL.
11%
30°C
$322 KL.
5%
31°C
$23 KL.
2%
32°C
$130 KL.
<1%
33°C
$105 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$261 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Munich's August 19 maximum temperature shows notable uncertainty, with 27°C and 28°C capturing the highest market-implied odds amid closely matched probabilities. Short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and ICON reveal tight spreads around these thresholds, driven by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage or high-pressure ridge influencing the region. Official guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst emphasizes that small shifts in dewpoint or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C, consistent with historical late-summer variability in southern Germany. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds as resolution criteria near.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,294Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Munich's August 19 maximum temperature shows notable uncertainty, with 27°C and 28°C capturing the highest market-implied odds amid closely matched probabilities. Short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and ICON reveal tight spreads around these thresholds, driven by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage or high-pressure ridge influencing the region. Official guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst emphasizes that small shifts in dewpoint or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C, consistent with historical late-summer variability in southern Germany. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds as resolution criteria near.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,294Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's August 19 maximum temperature shows notable uncertainty, with 27°C and 28°C capturing the highest market-implied odds amid closely matched probabilities. Short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and ICON reveal tight spreads around these thresholds, driven by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage or high-pressure ridge influencing the region. Official guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst emphasizes that small shifts in dewpoint or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C, consistent with historical late-summer variability in southern Germany. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds as resolution criteria near.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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