Forecast consensus from global models points to a daytime maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 19, consistent with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes and August climatology. Subtle differences hinge on boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus and Marmara coasts, and any afternoon cloud development that could cap peak heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show limited spread in 850-hPa temperatures and surface winds, keeping implied probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ lower. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to insolation or humidity profiles remain the key variables that could shift the final observed high before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 19?
27°C 40%
28°C 31%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
39%
28°C
31%
29°C
11%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 31%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
$5 KL.
1%
24°C
$4 KL.
2%
25°C
$0 KL.
4%
26°C
$24 KL.
13%
27°C
$374 KL.
39%
28°C
$90 KL.
31%
29°C
$41 KL.
11%
30°C
$21 KL.
7%
31°C
$5 KL.
4%
32°C
$5 KL.
4%
33°C or higher
$16 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global models points to a daytime maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 19, consistent with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes and August climatology. Subtle differences hinge on boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus and Marmara coasts, and any afternoon cloud development that could cap peak heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show limited spread in 850-hPa temperatures and surface winds, keeping implied probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ lower. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to insolation or humidity profiles remain the key variables that could shift the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$584Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global models points to a daytime maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 19, consistent with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes and August climatology. Subtle differences hinge on boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus and Marmara coasts, and any afternoon cloud development that could cap peak heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show limited spread in 850-hPa temperatures and surface winds, keeping implied probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ lower. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to insolation or humidity profiles remain the key variables that could shift the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$584Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global models points to a daytime maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 19, consistent with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes and August climatology. Subtle differences hinge on boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus and Marmara coasts, and any afternoon cloud development that could cap peak heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show limited spread in 850-hPa temperatures and surface winds, keeping implied probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ lower. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to insolation or humidity profiles remain the key variables that could shift the final observed high before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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