**Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 18, 2026, clusters tightly around 27–29°C (over 84% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for post-heatwave conditions under high pressure and mostly sunny skies.** After intense heat earlier in mid-August—with peaks near 38°C—recent model runs from Météo-France and others show moderating temperatures, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30°C amid light westerly winds and minimal cloud interference. The narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical short-range forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat retention in central Paris stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Historical August averages (around 24–26°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor values above the mean; resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. New ensemble updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 18?
27°C 38%
28°C 33%
26°C 15%
29°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
7%
26°C
15%
27°C
38%
28°C
33%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 33%
26°C 15%
29°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$30 KL.
7%
26°C
$78 KL.
15%
27°C
$228 KL.
38%
28°C
$224 KL.
33%
29°C
$356 KL.
10%
30°C
$23 KL.
4%
31°C
$197 KL.
1%
32°C
$34 KL.
<1%
33°C
$144 KL.
<1%
34°C
$452 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$452 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 18, 2026, clusters tightly around 27–29°C (over 84% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for post-heatwave conditions under high pressure and mostly sunny skies.** After intense heat earlier in mid-August—with peaks near 38°C—recent model runs from Météo-France and others show moderating temperatures, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30°C amid light westerly winds and minimal cloud interference. The narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical short-range forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat retention in central Paris stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Historical August averages (around 24–26°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor values above the mean; resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. New ensemble updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,219Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 18, 2026, clusters tightly around 27–29°C (over 84% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for post-heatwave conditions under high pressure and mostly sunny skies.** After intense heat earlier in mid-August—with peaks near 38°C—recent model runs from Météo-France and others show moderating temperatures, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30°C amid light westerly winds and minimal cloud interference. The narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical short-range forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat retention in central Paris stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Historical August averages (around 24–26°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor values above the mean; resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. New ensemble updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,219Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 18, 2026, clusters tightly around 27–29°C (over 84% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for post-heatwave conditions under high pressure and mostly sunny skies.** After intense heat earlier in mid-August—with peaks near 38°C—recent model runs from Météo-France and others show moderating temperatures, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30°C amid light westerly winds and minimal cloud interference. The narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical short-range forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat retention in central Paris stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Historical August averages (around 24–26°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor values above the mean; resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. New ensemble updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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