Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Denver will see mostly sunny skies and light winds on August 22, supporting a high near or slightly above the late-August normal of 87°F. Persistent above-normal warmth across the Front Range, driven by a lingering upper-level ridge and dry downslope flow, has shifted short-range forecasts into the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market's leading 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups show highs rarely exceed 95°F without stronger ridging, keeping higher outcomes at low implied probability while the 90-91°F range remains a plausible cooler scenario if morning clouds or a weak front arrive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Denver on August 22?
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 23%
96-97°F 7%
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
4%
104°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 23%
96-97°F 7%
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
4%
104°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Denver will see mostly sunny skies and light winds on August 22, supporting a high near or slightly above the late-August normal of 87°F. Persistent above-normal warmth across the Front Range, driven by a lingering upper-level ridge and dry downslope flow, has shifted short-range forecasts into the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market's leading 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups show highs rarely exceed 95°F without stronger ridging, keeping higher outcomes at low implied probability while the 90-91°F range remains a plausible cooler scenario if morning clouds or a weak front arrive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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