Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow greater surface heating. Southerly flow and elevated humidity further modulate the peak, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds a modest positive bias relative to the late-August climatological average of ~30 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
34°C 30%
33°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
28%
34°C
30%
35°C
13%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
4%
34°C 30%
33°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
28°C
$0 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
1%
30°C
$0 KL.
1%
31°C
$0 KL.
2%
32°C
$5 KL.
16%
33°C
$361 KL.
28%
34°C
$207 KL.
30%
35°C
$365 KL.
13%
36°C
$180 KL.
5%
37°C or higher
$12 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow greater surface heating. Southerly flow and elevated humidity further modulate the peak, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds a modest positive bias relative to the late-August climatological average of ~30 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,130Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow greater surface heating. Southerly flow and elevated humidity further modulate the peak, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds a modest positive bias relative to the late-August climatological average of ~30 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,130Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow greater surface heating. Southerly flow and elevated humidity further modulate the peak, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds a modest positive bias relative to the late-August climatological average of ~30 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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