Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional agencies indicate Beijing's August 24 overnight low will likely range 21–24°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, variable thunderstorm activity, and moderating high pressure. Cloud cover and rainfall can suppress radiative cooling, keeping minima near 23°C, while clearer intervals or stronger northeasterly flow allow drops toward 19°C or below. Historical August baselines show average lows near 20–22°C, with urban heat retention in Beijing adding slight warmth. The near-even market split between 23°C and sub-20°C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window, with fresh guidance expected to narrow uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
19°C or below 84%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 45%
23°C 42%
19°C or below
84%
20°C
23%
21°C
45%
22°C
24%
23°C
42%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
19°C or below 84%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 45%
23°C 42%
19°C or below
84%
20°C
23%
21°C
45%
22°C
24%
23°C
42%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional agencies indicate Beijing's August 24 overnight low will likely range 21–24°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, variable thunderstorm activity, and moderating high pressure. Cloud cover and rainfall can suppress radiative cooling, keeping minima near 23°C, while clearer intervals or stronger northeasterly flow allow drops toward 19°C or below. Historical August baselines show average lows near 20–22°C, with urban heat retention in Beijing adding slight warmth. The near-even market split between 23°C and sub-20°C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window, with fresh guidance expected to narrow uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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