Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
19°C or below 81%
28°C 51%
20°C 49%
24°C 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
81%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
29%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
51%
29°C or higher
2%
19°C or below 81%
28°C 51%
20°C 49%
24°C 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$5 KL.
81%
20°C
$5 KL.
49%
21°C
$0 KL.
25%
22°C
$0 KL.
26%
23°C
$0 KL.
26%
24°C
$0 KL.
30%
25°C
$0 KL.
29%
26°C
$0 KL.
26%
27°C
$75 KL.
23%
28°C
$5 KL.
51%
29°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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