Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a maximum of 26°C for Cape Town on August 26, 2026, amid a broader August range typically centered near 17–19°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 24–26°C due to lingering effects from mid-August cold fronts that suppressed temperatures along the west coast, combined with uncertainty in the timing and strength of subsequent high-pressure ridging and southeasterly flow. Key variables include the position of the South Atlantic anticyclone, which can enhance or limit adiabatic warming; wind direction and speed moderating marine influence from cooler Atlantic waters; and cloud cover or localized orographic effects near Table Mountain that alter daytime maxima. Model spreads across ensembles reflect this variability, with warmer outcomes (27°C+) hinging on stronger subsidence and lighter winds, while cooler readings depend on persistent frontal influences or increased onshore flow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 26?
25°C 34%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
23°C 16%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
22%
25°C
34%
26°C
19%
27°C
12%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
25°C 34%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
23°C 16%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
22%
25°C
34%
26°C
19%
27°C
12%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a maximum of 26°C for Cape Town on August 26, 2026, amid a broader August range typically centered near 17–19°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 24–26°C due to lingering effects from mid-August cold fronts that suppressed temperatures along the west coast, combined with uncertainty in the timing and strength of subsequent high-pressure ridging and southeasterly flow. Key variables include the position of the South Atlantic anticyclone, which can enhance or limit adiabatic warming; wind direction and speed moderating marine influence from cooler Atlantic waters; and cloud cover or localized orographic effects near Table Mountain that alter daytime maxima. Model spreads across ensembles reflect this variability, with warmer outcomes (27°C+) hinging on stronger subsidence and lighter winds, while cooler readings depend on persistent frontal influences or increased onshore flow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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