Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a cooler-than-average day in Moscow on August 26, with overcast skies, light drizzle, and highs most likely between 14–17°C due to a passing frontal system that reduces solar insolation and limits boundary-layer warming. This setup deviates from late-August climatology (typical highs near 20–22°C) as northerly flow and cloud cover suppress peak temperatures. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cloud breaks, precipitation timing, and any modest afternoon clearing that could add 1–2°C of heating. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
15°C 27%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
18°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
14%
19°C
11%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
6%
15°C 27%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
18°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
12°C
$5 KL.
2%
13°C
$5 KL.
5%
14°C
$0 KL.
5%
15°C
$0 KL.
27%
16°C
$0 KL.
26%
17°C
$7 KL.
26%
18°C
$0 KL.
14%
19°C
$0 KL.
11%
20°C
$5 KL.
6%
21°C or higher
$0 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a cooler-than-average day in Moscow on August 26, with overcast skies, light drizzle, and highs most likely between 14–17°C due to a passing frontal system that reduces solar insolation and limits boundary-layer warming. This setup deviates from late-August climatology (typical highs near 20–22°C) as northerly flow and cloud cover suppress peak temperatures. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cloud breaks, precipitation timing, and any modest afternoon clearing that could add 1–2°C of heating. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a cooler-than-average day in Moscow on August 26, with overcast skies, light drizzle, and highs most likely between 14–17°C due to a passing frontal system that reduces solar insolation and limits boundary-layer warming. This setup deviates from late-August climatology (typical highs near 20–22°C) as northerly flow and cloud cover suppress peak temperatures. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cloud breaks, precipitation timing, and any modest afternoon clearing that could add 1–2°C of heating. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$22Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a cooler-than-average day in Moscow on August 26, with overcast skies, light drizzle, and highs most likely between 14–17°C due to a passing frontal system that reduces solar insolation and limits boundary-layer warming. This setup deviates from late-August climatology (typical highs near 20–22°C) as northerly flow and cloud cover suppress peak temperatures. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cloud breaks, precipitation timing, and any modest afternoon clearing that could add 1–2°C of heating. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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