Current ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 26 point to overnight lows near 12–13°C amid typical late-summer cooling, with modest model spread on cloud cover and wind allowing for either stronger radiative cooling or milder conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs declining from the mid-20s°C earlier in the month toward 16–19°C, consistent with seasonal trends where average nighttime minima fall to around 12°C by month-end. Key differentiators include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable high pressure, urban heat island moderation, and potential light precipitation that could limit temperature drops. Trader consensus splits between sub-8°C and near-12°C outcomes because small forecast shifts in these variables can alter the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
7°C or below 94%
12°C 89%
17°C or higher 55%
8°C 50%
7°C or below
94%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
89%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C
2%
16°C
40%
17°C or higher
55%
7°C or below 94%
12°C 89%
17°C or higher 55%
8°C 50%
7°C or below
94%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
89%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C
2%
16°C
40%
17°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 26 point to overnight lows near 12–13°C amid typical late-summer cooling, with modest model spread on cloud cover and wind allowing for either stronger radiative cooling or milder conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs declining from the mid-20s°C earlier in the month toward 16–19°C, consistent with seasonal trends where average nighttime minima fall to around 12°C by month-end. Key differentiators include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable high pressure, urban heat island moderation, and potential light precipitation that could limit temperature drops. Trader consensus splits between sub-8°C and near-12°C outcomes because small forecast shifts in these variables can alter the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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