Recent forecasts from multiple models for Busan on August 26 indicate daily maximum temperatures likely in the 31–34°C range under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and dew points near 24°C, though some guidance shows potential for 35°C peaks if subsidence strengthens. The near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities captures genuine uncertainty from ensemble spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, consistent with late-August climatology featuring high humidity and variable East Asian summer monsoon influences. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any cloud cover changes that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on August 26?
36°C 33%
35°C 30%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
17%
35°C
30%
36°C
33%
37°C
16%
38°C or higher
7%
36°C 33%
35°C 30%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
17%
35°C
30%
36°C
33%
37°C
16%
38°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models for Busan on August 26 indicate daily maximum temperatures likely in the 31–34°C range under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and dew points near 24°C, though some guidance shows potential for 35°C peaks if subsidence strengthens. The near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities captures genuine uncertainty from ensemble spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, consistent with late-August climatology featuring high humidity and variable East Asian summer monsoon influences. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any cloud cover changes that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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