Latest numerical weather prediction model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 27 most likely between 26–28°C, driven by easterly flow advecting mild air over the North Sea with increasing cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers that limit boundary-layer heating. Ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in convective timing and cloud thickness, which can suppress or briefly enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on solar insolation and wind shifts to southerly. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds around 26–28°C, where traders weigh model consensus against historical late-August variability and potential for localized urban heat effects in the city. New model updates and KNMI briefings tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
27°C 30%
28°C 24%
29°C 19%
26°C 14%
MỚI
$13,003 KL.
MỚI
$13,003 KL.
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
30%
28°C
24%
29°C
19%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 30%
28°C 24%
29°C 19%
26°C 14%
MỚI
$13,003 KL.
MỚI
$13,003 KL.
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$380 KL.
1%
23°C
$84 KL.
1%
24°C
$154 KL.
2%
25°C
$2,983 KL.
4%
26°C
$2,672 KL.
14%
27°C
$1,352 KL.
30%
28°C
$1,622 KL.
24%
29°C
$1,631 KL.
19%
30°C
$379 KL.
6%
31°C
$76 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$1,670 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 27 most likely between 26–28°C, driven by easterly flow advecting mild air over the North Sea with increasing cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers that limit boundary-layer heating. Ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in convective timing and cloud thickness, which can suppress or briefly enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on solar insolation and wind shifts to southerly. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds around 26–28°C, where traders weigh model consensus against historical late-August variability and potential for localized urban heat effects in the city. New model updates and KNMI briefings tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,003Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 27 most likely between 26–28°C, driven by easterly flow advecting mild air over the North Sea with increasing cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers that limit boundary-layer heating. Ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in convective timing and cloud thickness, which can suppress or briefly enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on solar insolation and wind shifts to southerly. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds around 26–28°C, where traders weigh model consensus against historical late-August variability and potential for localized urban heat effects in the city. New model updates and KNMI briefings tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$13,003Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 27 most likely between 26–28°C, driven by easterly flow advecting mild air over the North Sea with increasing cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers that limit boundary-layer heating. Ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in convective timing and cloud thickness, which can suppress or briefly enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on solar insolation and wind shifts to southerly. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds around 26–28°C, where traders weigh model consensus against historical late-August variability and potential for localized urban heat effects in the city. New model updates and KNMI briefings tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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