Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon is the main driver keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 30–31 °C for Manila’s August 27 maximum. Official PAGASA guidance forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and suppress peak solar heating. Recent model consensus shows modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity; stronger or earlier convection could hold highs near 29 °C, while breaks in cloud cover or localized urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila could allow brief excursions to 31–32 °C. Weakening monsoon flow later in the week introduces the narrow spread across adjacent outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 27?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 27?
31°C 33%
30°C 27%
32°C 20%
33°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
27%
31°C
33%
32°C
20%
33°C
20%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 27%
32°C 20%
33°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
26°C
$0 KL.
1%
27°C
$0 KL.
1%
28°C
$0 KL.
6%
29°C
$0 KL.
16%
30°C
$0 KL.
27%
31°C
$0 KL.
33%
32°C
$0 KL.
20%
33°C
$0 KL.
20%
34°C
$0 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon is the main driver keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 30–31 °C for Manila’s August 27 maximum. Official PAGASA guidance forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and suppress peak solar heating. Recent model consensus shows modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity; stronger or earlier convection could hold highs near 29 °C, while breaks in cloud cover or localized urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila could allow brief excursions to 31–32 °C. Weakening monsoon flow later in the week introduces the narrow spread across adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon is the main driver keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 30–31 °C for Manila’s August 27 maximum. Official PAGASA guidance forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and suppress peak solar heating. Recent model consensus shows modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity; stronger or earlier convection could hold highs near 29 °C, while breaks in cloud cover or localized urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila could allow brief excursions to 31–32 °C. Weakening monsoon flow later in the week introduces the narrow spread across adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon is the main driver keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 30–31 °C for Manila’s August 27 maximum. Official PAGASA guidance forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and suppress peak solar heating. Recent model consensus shows modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity; stronger or earlier convection could hold highs near 29 °C, while breaks in cloud cover or localized urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila could allow brief excursions to 31–32 °C. Weakening monsoon flow later in the week introduces the narrow spread across adjacent outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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