Recent forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies shows a cooling trend for Beijing on August 27 driven by light rain, increased cloud cover, and northerly flow, with projected daily highs clustering around 26–28°C. This follows higher readings near 31°C on August 25 amid lingering summer warmth. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge maxima up or down by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Traders’ tight clustering on 28–29°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and the short time to resolution, with updates from the next model runs likely to refine probabilities as the event window approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
28°C 37%
29°C 23%
30°C 13%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
29°C 23%
30°C 13%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies shows a cooling trend for Beijing on August 27 driven by light rain, increased cloud cover, and northerly flow, with projected daily highs clustering around 26–28°C. This follows higher readings near 31°C on August 25 amid lingering summer warmth. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge maxima up or down by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Traders’ tight clustering on 28–29°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and the short time to resolution, with updates from the next model runs likely to refine probabilities as the event window approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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