Current forecasts from models and agencies indicate Beijing's August 27 low will likely fall between 19–21°C, driven by expected passing showers and increased cloud cover that moderates nighttime radiative cooling while limiting extreme heat buildup. Recent runs show a cooler, more unsettled pattern than mid-month averages, with light rain and overcast conditions suppressing the daily minimum relative to clear-sky scenarios. This uncertainty between 17–22°C outcomes reflects minor model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh these variables against Beijing's late-August climatology of 20–22°C lows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
17°C or below 65%
20°C 31%
21°C 31%
22°C 28%
17°C or below
65%
18°C
1%
19°C
25%
20°C
31%
21°C
31%
22°C
28%
23°C
25%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
6%
17°C or below 65%
20°C 31%
21°C 31%
22°C 28%
17°C or below
65%
18°C
1%
19°C
25%
20°C
31%
21°C
31%
22°C
28%
23°C
25%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models and agencies indicate Beijing's August 27 low will likely fall between 19–21°C, driven by expected passing showers and increased cloud cover that moderates nighttime radiative cooling while limiting extreme heat buildup. Recent runs show a cooler, more unsettled pattern than mid-month averages, with light rain and overcast conditions suppressing the daily minimum relative to clear-sky scenarios. This uncertainty between 17–22°C outcomes reflects minor model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh these variables against Beijing's late-August climatology of 20–22°C lows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp