Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 25 amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, driving the near-even split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Sea-breeze convergence and convective timing introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or stronger storms can suppress peak heating by several degrees while delayed activity allows greater insolation and higher maxima. Historical August averages hover around 89-91°F, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather pointing to 90-93°F depending on cloud cover and moisture. Traders weigh these variables against the low odds for outliers, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of short-range forecast variability ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 25?
92-93°F 49%
90-91°F 44%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 6%
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100°F or higher
2%
92-93°F 49%
90-91°F 44%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 6%
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 25 amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, driving the near-even split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Sea-breeze convergence and convective timing introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or stronger storms can suppress peak heating by several degrees while delayed activity allows greater insolation and higher maxima. Historical August averages hover around 89-91°F, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather pointing to 90-93°F depending on cloud cover and moisture. Traders weigh these variables against the low odds for outliers, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of short-range forecast variability ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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