Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
58-59°F 100.0%
49°F or below 1.0%
54-55°F 1.0%
50-51°F <1%
$2,409 KL.
$2,409 KL.
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
49°F or below 1.0%
54-55°F 1.0%
50-51°F <1%
$2,409 KL.
$2,409 KL.
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
$10 KL.
No
50-51°F
$235 KL.
No
52-53°F
$302 KL.
No
54-55°F
$52 KL.
No
56-57°F
$37 KL.
No
58-59°F
$160 KL.
Yes
60-61°F
$100 KL.
No
62-63°F
$355 KL.
No
64-65°F
$410 KL.
No
66-67°F
$210 KL.
No
68°F or higher
$538 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,409Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,409Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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