**Forecast models from the UK Met Office currently indicate a daytime maximum of 26°C for London on 3 September 2026, with afternoon peaks near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 9–14 mph.** This aligns with broader ensemble guidance showing mild southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that could allow brief warming, though scattered showers or increased afternoon cloud (20–30% chance) may cap the peak. Other sources vary between 24–25°C depending on how quickly cloud thickens or precipitation arrives, creating the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C (28%) and 26°C (19%). Historical September averages near 20–21°C provide context, but the current setup favors values near the upper end of the narrow range. Updated Met Office runs and higher-resolution model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the key variables of timing and extent of any showers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on September 3?
25°C 36%
24°C 28%
26°C 20%
23°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
28%
25°C
36%
26°C
20%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 28%
26°C 20%
23°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
28%
25°C
36%
26°C
20%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the UK Met Office currently indicate a daytime maximum of 26°C for London on 3 September 2026, with afternoon peaks near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 9–14 mph.** This aligns with broader ensemble guidance showing mild southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that could allow brief warming, though scattered showers or increased afternoon cloud (20–30% chance) may cap the peak. Other sources vary between 24–25°C depending on how quickly cloud thickens or precipitation arrives, creating the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C (28%) and 26°C (19%). Historical September averages near 20–21°C provide context, but the current setup favors values near the upper end of the narrow range. Updated Met Office runs and higher-resolution model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the key variables of timing and extent of any showers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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