**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C low in London on September 3, 2026, at 95.5%.** Multiple official forecasts, including the Met Office, project an overnight minimum of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–20 km/h and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with current observations around 23°C in the evening and typical early-September conditions, where clear spells allow radiational cooling to moderate levels without dropping sharply. Model consensus supports this range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-forecast cloud cover or lighter winds trapping additional heat, potentially pushing the low above 19°C, while unexpected clearer skies or a wind shift might allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders are weighting the central forecast heavily given the short time remaining to the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 3?
Lowest temperature in London on September 3?
19°C 99.5%
18°C 1.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$8,668 KL.
$8,668 KL.
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 99.5%
18°C 1.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$8,668 KL.
$8,668 KL.
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
$70 KL.
No
14°C
$70 KL.
No
15°C
$171 KL.
No
16°C
$131 KL.
No
17°C
$1,602 KL.
No
18°C
$2,302 KL.
No
19°C
$2,143 KL.
Yes
20°C
$1,911 KL.
No
21°C
$165 KL.
No
22°C
$50 KL.
No
23°C or higher
$50 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C low in London on September 3, 2026, at 95.5%.** Multiple official forecasts, including the Met Office, project an overnight minimum of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–20 km/h and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with current observations around 23°C in the evening and typical early-September conditions, where clear spells allow radiational cooling to moderate levels without dropping sharply. Model consensus supports this range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-forecast cloud cover or lighter winds trapping additional heat, potentially pushing the low above 19°C, while unexpected clearer skies or a wind shift might allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders are weighting the central forecast heavily given the short time remaining to the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,668Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C low in London on September 3, 2026, at 95.5%.** Multiple official forecasts, including the Met Office, project an overnight minimum of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–20 km/h and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with current observations around 23°C in the evening and typical early-September conditions, where clear spells allow radiational cooling to moderate levels without dropping sharply. Model consensus supports this range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-forecast cloud cover or lighter winds trapping additional heat, potentially pushing the low above 19°C, while unexpected clearer skies or a wind shift might allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders are weighting the central forecast heavily given the short time remaining to the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,668Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C low in London on September 3, 2026, at 95.5%.** Multiple official forecasts, including the Met Office, project an overnight minimum of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–20 km/h and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with current observations around 23°C in the evening and typical early-September conditions, where clear spells allow radiational cooling to moderate levels without dropping sharply. Model consensus supports this range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-forecast cloud cover or lighter winds trapping additional heat, potentially pushing the low above 19°C, while unexpected clearer skies or a wind shift might allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders are weighting the central forecast heavily given the short time remaining to the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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