**Traders have converged on 15°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 6, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting official observational data.** Hourly readings from London-area stations, including London City Airport and Heathrow, show overnight and early-morning minima stabilizing at 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, before daytime highs reached 25–27°C. This aligns with Met Office and equivalent agency records for the calendar day, leaving negligible scope for revision. Climatologically, September 6 averages a low near 12°C, but a warmer-than-normal pattern with elevated dew points and minimal radiative cooling produced the observed 15°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-hoc data corrections from primary stations or definitional disputes over “London” boundaries, both of which remain improbable given consistent multi-station confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,738 KL.
$9,738 KL.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,738 KL.
$9,738 KL.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Traders have converged on 15°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 6, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting official observational data.** Hourly readings from London-area stations, including London City Airport and Heathrow, show overnight and early-morning minima stabilizing at 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, before daytime highs reached 25–27°C. This aligns with Met Office and equivalent agency records for the calendar day, leaving negligible scope for revision. Climatologically, September 6 averages a low near 12°C, but a warmer-than-normal pattern with elevated dew points and minimal radiative cooling produced the observed 15°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-hoc data corrections from primary stations or definitional disputes over “London” boundaries, both of which remain improbable given consistent multi-station confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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