Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 4 project a daily high range of 25–29°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds influenced by nearby tropical cyclone activity and monsoon flow. This setup creates genuine uncertainty in peak temperatures, with showers and humidity likely capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because ensemble models show modest disagreement on precipitation timing and intensity, which directly modulates solar heating and boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance ahead of the date will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of the expected range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
29°C 31%
28°C 31%
30°C 16%
27°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
31%
29°C
31%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 31%
28°C 31%
30°C 16%
27°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$8,945 KL.
<1%
24°C
$0 KL.
2%
25°C
$143 KL.
<1%
26°C
$205 KL.
5%
27°C
$30 KL.
11%
28°C
$167 KL.
31%
29°C
$91 KL.
31%
30°C
$117 KL.
16%
31°C
$5 KL.
6%
32°C
$37 KL.
3%
33°C or higher
$80 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 4 project a daily high range of 25–29°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds influenced by nearby tropical cyclone activity and monsoon flow. This setup creates genuine uncertainty in peak temperatures, with showers and humidity likely capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because ensemble models show modest disagreement on precipitation timing and intensity, which directly modulates solar heating and boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance ahead of the date will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,819Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 4 project a daily high range of 25–29°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds influenced by nearby tropical cyclone activity and monsoon flow. This setup creates genuine uncertainty in peak temperatures, with showers and humidity likely capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because ensemble models show modest disagreement on precipitation timing and intensity, which directly modulates solar heating and boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance ahead of the date will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$9,819Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 4 project a daily high range of 25–29°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds influenced by nearby tropical cyclone activity and monsoon flow. This setup creates genuine uncertainty in peak temperatures, with showers and humidity likely capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because ensemble models show modest disagreement on precipitation timing and intensity, which directly modulates solar heating and boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance ahead of the date will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of the expected range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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