Recent forecast models from sources including Yr.no and national meteorological services point to an overnight low near 8–9 °C for Buenos Aires on September 4, driven by a southwest flow behind a cold front that cleared skies and lowered dew points. This positions 7 °C and 8 °C outcomes near current market-implied odds, while the elevated weighting on 5 °C or below reflects trader emphasis on radiational cooling potential under clear, light-wind conditions that could allow temperatures to dip further than ensemble means. Historical September minima average around 9 °C, providing a baseline against which any stronger-than-expected cold-air advection would shift probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for revisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
5°C or below 91%
8°C 48%
6°C 47%
15°C or higher 47%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
5°C or below
91%
6°C
47%
7°C
26%
8°C
48%
9°C
26%
10°C
3%
11°C
18%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C or higher
47%
5°C or below 91%
8°C 48%
6°C 47%
15°C or higher 47%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
5°C or below
$0 KL.
91%
6°C
$0 KL.
47%
7°C
$0 KL.
26%
8°C
$0 KL.
48%
9°C
$0 KL.
26%
10°C
$203 KL.
3%
11°C
$0 KL.
18%
12°C
$0 KL.
19%
13°C
$0 KL.
19%
14°C
$0 KL.
19%
15°C or higher
$0 KL.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including Yr.no and national meteorological services point to an overnight low near 8–9 °C for Buenos Aires on September 4, driven by a southwest flow behind a cold front that cleared skies and lowered dew points. This positions 7 °C and 8 °C outcomes near current market-implied odds, while the elevated weighting on 5 °C or below reflects trader emphasis on radiational cooling potential under clear, light-wind conditions that could allow temperatures to dip further than ensemble means. Historical September minima average around 9 °C, providing a baseline against which any stronger-than-expected cold-air advection would shift probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$203Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including Yr.no and national meteorological services point to an overnight low near 8–9 °C for Buenos Aires on September 4, driven by a southwest flow behind a cold front that cleared skies and lowered dew points. This positions 7 °C and 8 °C outcomes near current market-implied odds, while the elevated weighting on 5 °C or below reflects trader emphasis on radiational cooling potential under clear, light-wind conditions that could allow temperatures to dip further than ensemble means. Historical September minima average around 9 °C, providing a baseline against which any stronger-than-expected cold-air advection would shift probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$203Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including Yr.no and national meteorological services point to an overnight low near 8–9 °C for Buenos Aires on September 4, driven by a southwest flow behind a cold front that cleared skies and lowered dew points. This positions 7 °C and 8 °C outcomes near current market-implied odds, while the elevated weighting on 5 °C or below reflects trader emphasis on radiational cooling potential under clear, light-wind conditions that could allow temperatures to dip further than ensemble means. Historical September minima average around 9 °C, providing a baseline against which any stronger-than-expected cold-air advection would shift probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for revisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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