Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a mild start to September 2 in Buenos Aires, with the daily low most likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and dew points near 10–12 °C. A weak frontal boundary and modest moisture advection introduce minor uncertainty in the precise minimum, as differing model runs project overnight values clustered between roughly 10 °C and 13 °C before daytime heating pushes readings into the low 20s. This narrow spread, combined with typical resolution thresholds for official station measurements, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly bunched around the 7–11 °C outcomes. The larger polar-air surge and associated sharper drop are still several days away, leaving today’s temperature primarily governed by local boundary-layer cooling rates and limited synoptic forcing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 2?
7°C or below 50%
9°C 49%
10°C 49%
8°C 48%
7°C or below
50%
8°C
48%
9°C
49%
10°C
49%
11°C
41%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 50%
9°C 49%
10°C 49%
8°C 48%
7°C or below
50%
8°C
48%
9°C
49%
10°C
49%
11°C
41%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a mild start to September 2 in Buenos Aires, with the daily low most likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and dew points near 10–12 °C. A weak frontal boundary and modest moisture advection introduce minor uncertainty in the precise minimum, as differing model runs project overnight values clustered between roughly 10 °C and 13 °C before daytime heating pushes readings into the low 20s. This narrow spread, combined with typical resolution thresholds for official station measurements, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly bunched around the 7–11 °C outcomes. The larger polar-air surge and associated sharper drop are still several days away, leaving today’s temperature primarily governed by local boundary-layer cooling rates and limited synoptic forcing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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