**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high near 29–31°C on September 2, driven by northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain that are limiting daytime heating.** Multiple models, including those from Yr.no and local sources, project a maximum of 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30–40% precipitation chances, suppressing temperatures below the long-term September 2 average of roughly 33°C. This setup reflects a post-summer transition pattern where cooler, moister air advects southward, increasing humidity and reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus around 29–31°C (over 70% combined implied probability) aligns with these model outputs and the absence of clear, high-pressure conditions needed for seasonal peaks near 35°C or above. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
30°C 35%
29°C 20%
31°C 16%
28°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
20%
30°C
35%
31°C
16%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 20%
31°C 16%
28°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
$459 KL.
<1%
26°C
$750 KL.
<1%
27°C
$313 KL.
3%
28°C
$635 KL.
9%
29°C
$530 KL.
20%
30°C
$1,295 KL.
35%
31°C
$2,261 KL.
16%
32°C
$1,565 KL.
8%
33°C
$564 KL.
3%
34°C
$975 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$192 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high near 29–31°C on September 2, driven by northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain that are limiting daytime heating.** Multiple models, including those from Yr.no and local sources, project a maximum of 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30–40% precipitation chances, suppressing temperatures below the long-term September 2 average of roughly 33°C. This setup reflects a post-summer transition pattern where cooler, moister air advects southward, increasing humidity and reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus around 29–31°C (over 70% combined implied probability) aligns with these model outputs and the absence of clear, high-pressure conditions needed for seasonal peaks near 35°C or above. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,538Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high near 29–31°C on September 2, driven by northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain that are limiting daytime heating.** Multiple models, including those from Yr.no and local sources, project a maximum of 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30–40% precipitation chances, suppressing temperatures below the long-term September 2 average of roughly 33°C. This setup reflects a post-summer transition pattern where cooler, moister air advects southward, increasing humidity and reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus around 29–31°C (over 70% combined implied probability) aligns with these model outputs and the absence of clear, high-pressure conditions needed for seasonal peaks near 35°C or above. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,538Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high near 29–31°C on September 2, driven by northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain that are limiting daytime heating.** Multiple models, including those from Yr.no and local sources, project a maximum of 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30–40% precipitation chances, suppressing temperatures below the long-term September 2 average of roughly 33°C. This setup reflects a post-summer transition pattern where cooler, moister air advects southward, increasing humidity and reducing solar insolation. Trader consensus around 29–31°C (over 70% combined implied probability) aligns with these model outputs and the absence of clear, high-pressure conditions needed for seasonal peaks near 35°C or above. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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