Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds over Guangzhou on September 3, limiting daytime insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps highs near 28–31 °C. This pattern aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 29 °C (27 %), 30 °C (22 %), and 31 °C (20 %), as traders weigh model spread in rain timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September averages exceed 32 °C under clearer conditions, but the current unsettled regime—evident in ongoing overcast skies and light rain on September 1–2—supports the implied probability of below-normal peaks. Updated model runs and local observations through September 2 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31°C
20%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
26°C
$70 KL.
4%
27°C
$33 KL.
6%
28°C
$52 KL.
10%
29°C
$12 KL.
27%
30°C
$0 KL.
23%
31°C
$12 KL.
20%
32°C
$12 KL.
5%
33°C
$101 KL.
2%
34°C
$40 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$315 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds over Guangzhou on September 3, limiting daytime insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps highs near 28–31 °C. This pattern aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 29 °C (27 %), 30 °C (22 %), and 31 °C (20 %), as traders weigh model spread in rain timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September averages exceed 32 °C under clearer conditions, but the current unsettled regime—evident in ongoing overcast skies and light rain on September 1–2—supports the implied probability of below-normal peaks. Updated model runs and local observations through September 2 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$647Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds over Guangzhou on September 3, limiting daytime insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps highs near 28–31 °C. This pattern aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 29 °C (27 %), 30 °C (22 %), and 31 °C (20 %), as traders weigh model spread in rain timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September averages exceed 32 °C under clearer conditions, but the current unsettled regime—evident in ongoing overcast skies and light rain on September 1–2—supports the implied probability of below-normal peaks. Updated model runs and local observations through September 2 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$647Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds over Guangzhou on September 3, limiting daytime insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps highs near 28–31 °C. This pattern aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 29 °C (27 %), 30 °C (22 %), and 31 °C (20 %), as traders weigh model spread in rain timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September averages exceed 32 °C under clearer conditions, but the current unsettled regime—evident in ongoing overcast skies and light rain on September 1–2—supports the implied probability of below-normal peaks. Updated model runs and local observations through September 2 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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