Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's September 1 high temperature will likely reach 30–31°C, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure and warm, humid southerly flow typical of late summer in the Yangtze River Delta. Scattered thunderstorms and moderate easterly winds may cap extremes by enhancing cloud cover and localized cooling, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (44.5%) and 31°C (32%). Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, yet recent August patterns with sustained highs above 30°C support trader consensus on these levels. Model updates over the next 48 hours ahead of resolution will refine precipitation timing and peak readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's September 1 high temperature will likely reach 30–31°C, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure and warm, humid southerly flow typical of late summer in the Yangtze River Delta. Scattered thunderstorms and moderate easterly winds may cap extremes by enhancing cloud cover and localized cooling, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (44.5%) and 31°C (32%). Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, yet recent August patterns with sustained highs above 30°C support trader consensus on these levels. Model updates over the next 48 hours ahead of resolution will refine precipitation timing and peak readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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