Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project mostly sunny to partly sunny skies across New York City under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and gusts to 20 mph, supporting peak heating in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport. This setup drives the tight market balance between the 82–83°F (34.5%) and 84–85°F (29.5%) bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited temperature spread amid low precipitation odds. Afternoon cloud cover or enhanced sea-breeze effects could modestly suppress maxima toward the lower range, while full insolation and urban heat-island influences favor the higher bin; historical verification tendencies at the station give the slight edge to 82–83°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 6%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 6%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project mostly sunny to partly sunny skies across New York City under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and gusts to 20 mph, supporting peak heating in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport. This setup drives the tight market balance between the 82–83°F (34.5%) and 84–85°F (29.5%) bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited temperature spread amid low precipitation odds. Afternoon cloud cover or enhanced sea-breeze effects could modestly suppress maxima toward the lower range, while full insolation and urban heat-island influences favor the higher bin; historical verification tendencies at the station give the slight edge to 82–83°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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