Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and local models project a minimum near 11–12 °C for Buenos Aires on 30 August, above the month’s climatological average of roughly 7 °C. Trader consensus clustering around 6–9 °C reflects model spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potentially clearer skies and lighter winds, which can lower surface temperatures several degrees beyond guidance. Key differentiating factors include southerly advection of cooler Patagonian air, boundary-layer stability, and dew-point depression; small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed of just 2–3 m/s can separate a 9 °C outcome from a sub-7 °C reading. Updated model runs overnight and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
7°C 43%
8°C 41%
9°C 41%
10°C 27%
6°C or below
44%
7°C
43%
8°C
41%
9°C
41%
10°C
27%
11°C
8%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
6%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
20%
7°C 43%
8°C 41%
9°C 41%
10°C 27%
6°C or below
44%
7°C
43%
8°C
41%
9°C
41%
10°C
27%
11°C
8%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
6%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and local models project a minimum near 11–12 °C for Buenos Aires on 30 August, above the month’s climatological average of roughly 7 °C. Trader consensus clustering around 6–9 °C reflects model spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potentially clearer skies and lighter winds, which can lower surface temperatures several degrees beyond guidance. Key differentiating factors include southerly advection of cooler Patagonian air, boundary-layer stability, and dew-point depression; small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed of just 2–3 m/s can separate a 9 °C outcome from a sub-7 °C reading. Updated model runs overnight and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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