Current forecasts from major models indicate a mild winter night for Buenos Aires on August 29, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. High pressure and dry conditions favor radiative cooling after daytime highs near 16–17°C, yet recent trends show above-average temperatures for late August that limit further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 2–10°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model differences in dew-point depression and wind speed, rather than any strong signal for extremes below 5°C or above 12°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
10°C 43%
6°C 28%
4°C 27%
5°C 27%
2°C or below
27%
3°C
26%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
28%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
43%
11°C
10%
12°C or higher
7%
10°C 43%
6°C 28%
4°C 27%
5°C 27%
2°C or below
27%
3°C
26%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
28%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
43%
11°C
10%
12°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models indicate a mild winter night for Buenos Aires on August 29, with minimum temperatures likely reaching 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. High pressure and dry conditions favor radiative cooling after daytime highs near 16–17°C, yet recent trends show above-average temperatures for late August that limit further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 2–10°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model differences in dew-point depression and wind speed, rather than any strong signal for extremes below 5°C or above 12°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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