Numerical weather prediction ensembles from models such as ECMWF and GFS currently show Chengdu maximum temperatures on August 30 clustering near 31–33 °C, driving the tight market spread where 32 °C leads at 22.5 % implied probability. This reflects modest forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow associated with the East Asian monsoon trough. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin averages around 30–32 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against potential diurnal heating under clearer skies or localized rainfall that could cap highs near 31 °C. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
32°C 22%
29°C 20%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
20%
30°C
12%
31°C
19%
32°C
22%
33°C
20%
34°C
11%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
4%
32°C 22%
29°C 20%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$20 KL.
2%
29°C
$0 KL.
20%
30°C
$0 KL.
12%
31°C
$0 KL.
19%
32°C
$0 KL.
22%
33°C
$0 KL.
20%
34°C
$2 KL.
11%
35°C
$2 KL.
8%
36°C
$12 KL.
6%
37°C
$0 KL.
4%
38°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from models such as ECMWF and GFS currently show Chengdu maximum temperatures on August 30 clustering near 31–33 °C, driving the tight market spread where 32 °C leads at 22.5 % implied probability. This reflects modest forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow associated with the East Asian monsoon trough. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin averages around 30–32 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against potential diurnal heating under clearer skies or localized rainfall that could cap highs near 31 °C. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from models such as ECMWF and GFS currently show Chengdu maximum temperatures on August 30 clustering near 31–33 °C, driving the tight market spread where 32 °C leads at 22.5 % implied probability. This reflects modest forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow associated with the East Asian monsoon trough. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin averages around 30–32 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against potential diurnal heating under clearer skies or localized rainfall that could cap highs near 31 °C. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$36Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction ensembles from models such as ECMWF and GFS currently show Chengdu maximum temperatures on August 30 clustering near 31–33 °C, driving the tight market spread where 32 °C leads at 22.5 % implied probability. This reflects modest forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow associated with the East Asian monsoon trough. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin averages around 30–32 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against potential diurnal heating under clearer skies or localized rainfall that could cap highs near 31 °C. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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