Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies project Beijing's August 29 high temperature near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows modest daytime heating driven by solar insolation and warm advection, tempered by variable cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with 31°C leading at 34% implied probability as ensembles cluster there amid typical late-summer variability in the North China Plain. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies project Beijing's August 29 high temperature near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows modest daytime heating driven by solar insolation and warm advection, tempered by variable cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with 31°C leading at 34% implied probability as ensembles cluster there amid typical late-summer variability in the North China Plain. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp