Recent forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicates a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, light easterly winds, and daytime highs likely near 17-19°C on August 30. Trader sentiment favoring 20-22°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in afternoon solar heating and potential model adjustments, as easterly flow off the Río de la Plata can moderate or enhance temperatures depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August maxima average around 18°C, and with resolution hinging on the official daily high measurement, small forecast shifts in insolation or wind speed could easily differentiate these closely matched probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
21°C 36%
20°C 27%
22°C 24%
19°C 9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
9%
20°C
27%
21°C
36%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 36%
20°C 27%
22°C 24%
19°C 9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
9%
20°C
27%
21°C
36%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicates a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, light easterly winds, and daytime highs likely near 17-19°C on August 30. Trader sentiment favoring 20-22°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in afternoon solar heating and potential model adjustments, as easterly flow off the Río de la Plata can moderate or enhance temperatures depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August maxima average around 18°C, and with resolution hinging on the official daily high measurement, small forecast shifts in insolation or wind speed could easily differentiate these closely matched probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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