**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
19°C 100%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$1,880 KL.
$1,880 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$1,880 KL.
$1,880 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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