Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and regional guidance, indicate Guangzhou's September 26 high will likely reach 33–35°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, low precipitation chances near 4%, and light southerly winds. This aligns with a warming trend after recent scattered showers, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 31.1°C while remaining well below historical extremes of 36.6°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty across the 32–37°C range due to typical short-range model spread on peak afternoon heating, urban heat effects, and humidity levels around 50–60%. New ensemble runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow probabilities ahead of official verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 26?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 26?
37°C 36%
35°C 25%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
20%
33°C
19%
34°C
21%
35°C
25%
36°C
19%
37°C
36%
38°C or higher
<1%
37°C 36%
35°C 25%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
28°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
29°C
$0 KL.
4%
30°C
$0 KL.
4%
31°C
$0 KL.
4%
32°C
$0 KL.
20%
33°C
$0 KL.
19%
34°C
$0 KL.
21%
35°C
$0 KL.
25%
36°C
$0 KL.
19%
37°C
$0 KL.
36%
38°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and regional guidance, indicate Guangzhou's September 26 high will likely reach 33–35°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, low precipitation chances near 4%, and light southerly winds. This aligns with a warming trend after recent scattered showers, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 31.1°C while remaining well below historical extremes of 36.6°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty across the 32–37°C range due to typical short-range model spread on peak afternoon heating, urban heat effects, and humidity levels around 50–60%. New ensemble runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow probabilities ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and regional guidance, indicate Guangzhou's September 26 high will likely reach 33–35°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, low precipitation chances near 4%, and light southerly winds. This aligns with a warming trend after recent scattered showers, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 31.1°C while remaining well below historical extremes of 36.6°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty across the 32–37°C range due to typical short-range model spread on peak afternoon heating, urban heat effects, and humidity levels around 50–60%. New ensemble runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow probabilities ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and regional guidance, indicate Guangzhou's September 26 high will likely reach 33–35°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, low precipitation chances near 4%, and light southerly winds. This aligns with a warming trend after recent scattered showers, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 31.1°C while remaining well below historical extremes of 36.6°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty across the 32–37°C range due to typical short-range model spread on peak afternoon heating, urban heat effects, and humidity levels around 50–60%. New ensemble runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow probabilities ahead of official verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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