Forecast models indicate Chicago's August 30 maximum temperature will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s°F, with market-implied odds clustered on 84-85°F and 86-87°F due to small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer heating. Primary drivers include the strength and timing of warm-air advection ahead of a weak cold front, surface high pressure promoting clear skies, and local factors such as dew-point levels and mixing depth that can shift the peak by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology places the average high near 83°F at O’Hare, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest positive anomalies. NOAA and NWS updates overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
$127 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$149 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$156 KL.
5%
82-83°F
$381 KL.
18%
84-85°F
$140 KL.
27%
86-87°F
$215 KL.
25%
88-89°F
$275 KL.
16%
90-91°F
$34 KL.
5%
92-93°F
$0 KL.
3%
94-95°F
$0 KL.
1%
96°F or higher
$353 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate Chicago's August 30 maximum temperature will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s°F, with market-implied odds clustered on 84-85°F and 86-87°F due to small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer heating. Primary drivers include the strength and timing of warm-air advection ahead of a weak cold front, surface high pressure promoting clear skies, and local factors such as dew-point levels and mixing depth that can shift the peak by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology places the average high near 83°F at O’Hare, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest positive anomalies. NOAA and NWS updates overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,829Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate Chicago's August 30 maximum temperature will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s°F, with market-implied odds clustered on 84-85°F and 86-87°F due to small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer heating. Primary drivers include the strength and timing of warm-air advection ahead of a weak cold front, surface high pressure promoting clear skies, and local factors such as dew-point levels and mixing depth that can shift the peak by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology places the average high near 83°F at O’Hare, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest positive anomalies. NOAA and NWS updates overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,829Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate Chicago's August 30 maximum temperature will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s°F, with market-implied odds clustered on 84-85°F and 86-87°F due to small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer heating. Primary drivers include the strength and timing of warm-air advection ahead of a weak cold front, surface high pressure promoting clear skies, and local factors such as dew-point levels and mixing depth that can shift the peak by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology places the average high near 83°F at O’Hare, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows modest positive anomalies. NOAA and NWS updates overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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