**Northwesterly winds and clear, sunny conditions are expected to drive Wellington’s daytime high on August 30 toward 15–16 °C, with trader consensus centering on 17 °C.** Multiple official and model forecasts from MetService-aligned sources, the Met Office, and WeatherBug project a peak near 15–16 °C (59–61 °F) under mostly clear skies and strong northwest flow gusting 20–35 knots. This setup advects milder air from the Tasman Sea while maximizing solar insolation during the longer late-August daylight hours. August climatology places typical highs around 13–14 °C, so the forecast represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the current synoptic pattern. No significant model disagreement or rapid changes have emerged in the latest 24-hour updates, keeping resolution risk low. The market’s elevated pricing on 17 °C reflects traders incorporating minor upside from localized heating or station measurement nuances, while lower probabilities on 18 °C+ or sub-16 °C outcomes align with the narrow forecast envelope. Fresh model runs or any unexpected wind shift could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
17°C 60%
18°C 28%
16°C 11%
19°C 3%
MỚI
$35,604 KL.
MỚI
$35,604 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
60%
18°C
28%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 60%
18°C 28%
16°C 11%
19°C 3%
MỚI
$35,604 KL.
MỚI
$35,604 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$687 KL.
<1%
12°C
$687 KL.
<1%
13°C
$548 KL.
<1%
14°C
$2,230 KL.
<1%
15°C
$3,237 KL.
3%
16°C
$10,042 KL.
11%
17°C
$7,495 KL.
60%
18°C
$5,295 KL.
28%
19°C
$3,086 KL.
3%
20°C
$1,510 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$786 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds and clear, sunny conditions are expected to drive Wellington’s daytime high on August 30 toward 15–16 °C, with trader consensus centering on 17 °C.** Multiple official and model forecasts from MetService-aligned sources, the Met Office, and WeatherBug project a peak near 15–16 °C (59–61 °F) under mostly clear skies and strong northwest flow gusting 20–35 knots. This setup advects milder air from the Tasman Sea while maximizing solar insolation during the longer late-August daylight hours.
August climatology places typical highs around 13–14 °C, so the forecast represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the current synoptic pattern. No significant model disagreement or rapid changes have emerged in the latest 24-hour updates, keeping resolution risk low. The market’s elevated pricing on 17 °C reflects traders incorporating minor upside from localized heating or station measurement nuances, while lower probabilities on 18 °C+ or sub-16 °C outcomes align with the narrow forecast envelope. Fresh model runs or any unexpected wind shift could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,604Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds and clear, sunny conditions are expected to drive Wellington’s daytime high on August 30 toward 15–16 °C, with trader consensus centering on 17 °C.** Multiple official and model forecasts from MetService-aligned sources, the Met Office, and WeatherBug project a peak near 15–16 °C (59–61 °F) under mostly clear skies and strong northwest flow gusting 20–35 knots. This setup advects milder air from the Tasman Sea while maximizing solar insolation during the longer late-August daylight hours.
August climatology places typical highs around 13–14 °C, so the forecast represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the current synoptic pattern. No significant model disagreement or rapid changes have emerged in the latest 24-hour updates, keeping resolution risk low. The market’s elevated pricing on 17 °C reflects traders incorporating minor upside from localized heating or station measurement nuances, while lower probabilities on 18 °C+ or sub-16 °C outcomes align with the narrow forecast envelope. Fresh model runs or any unexpected wind shift could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$35,604Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Northwesterly winds and clear, sunny conditions are expected to drive Wellington’s daytime high on August 30 toward 15–16 °C, with trader consensus centering on 17 °C.** Multiple official and model forecasts from MetService-aligned sources, the Met Office, and WeatherBug project a peak near 15–16 °C (59–61 °F) under mostly clear skies and strong northwest flow gusting 20–35 knots. This setup advects milder air from the Tasman Sea while maximizing solar insolation during the longer late-August daylight hours. August climatology places typical highs around 13–14 °C, so the forecast represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the current synoptic pattern. No significant model disagreement or rapid changes have emerged in the latest 24-hour updates, keeping resolution risk low. The market’s elevated pricing on 17 °C reflects traders incorporating minor upside from localized heating or station measurement nuances, while lower probabilities on 18 °C+ or sub-16 °C outcomes align with the narrow forecast envelope. Fresh model runs or any unexpected wind shift could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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