**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on the 58-59°F range (93% implied probability) due to official observational data from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) METAR reports.** These show overnight lows holding at 58°F through the early morning hours before rising under persistent overcast marine layer conditions, with daytime highs reaching only the mid-60s. This aligns with National Weather Service climate summaries and forecasts noting a deep, drizzle-prone marine layer that suppressed temperatures 10–15°F below late-August normals (average low ~56°F). The positioning reflects real-time verification of surface observations rather than models, as the date has passed and data are now finalized. Historical context reinforces this: all-time August 31 lows reach 51°F but recent years cluster near 55–58°F, and the current marine layer setup produced values squarely in the favored bin. Lower-probability outcomes like 47°F or below (50%) or narrower mid-50s ranges remain possible only if an alternate station or post-analysis revision shifts the official minimum, though such adjustments are rare once METAR records close. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the precise official minimum reported by the primary data source.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
58-59°F 99.5%
50-51°F 20%
52-53°F 20%
54-55°F 20%
$2,420 KL.
$2,420 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
58-59°F 99.5%
50-51°F 20%
52-53°F 20%
54-55°F 20%
$2,420 KL.
$2,420 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$185 KL.
No
48-49°F
$146 KL.
No
50-51°F
$148 KL.
No
52-53°F
$32 KL.
No
54-55°F
$5 KL.
No
56-57°F
$18 KL.
No
58-59°F
$57 KL.
Yes
60-61°F
$365 KL.
No
62-63°F
$123 KL.
No
64-65°F
$893 KL.
No
66°F or higher
$450 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on the 58-59°F range (93% implied probability) due to official observational data from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) METAR reports.** These show overnight lows holding at 58°F through the early morning hours before rising under persistent overcast marine layer conditions, with daytime highs reaching only the mid-60s. This aligns with National Weather Service climate summaries and forecasts noting a deep, drizzle-prone marine layer that suppressed temperatures 10–15°F below late-August normals (average low ~56°F).
The positioning reflects real-time verification of surface observations rather than models, as the date has passed and data are now finalized. Historical context reinforces this: all-time August 31 lows reach 51°F but recent years cluster near 55–58°F, and the current marine layer setup produced values squarely in the favored bin. Lower-probability outcomes like 47°F or below (50%) or narrower mid-50s ranges remain possible only if an alternate station or post-analysis revision shifts the official minimum, though such adjustments are rare once METAR records close. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the precise official minimum reported by the primary data source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,420Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on the 58-59°F range (93% implied probability) due to official observational data from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) METAR reports.** These show overnight lows holding at 58°F through the early morning hours before rising under persistent overcast marine layer conditions, with daytime highs reaching only the mid-60s. This aligns with National Weather Service climate summaries and forecasts noting a deep, drizzle-prone marine layer that suppressed temperatures 10–15°F below late-August normals (average low ~56°F).
The positioning reflects real-time verification of surface observations rather than models, as the date has passed and data are now finalized. Historical context reinforces this: all-time August 31 lows reach 51°F but recent years cluster near 55–58°F, and the current marine layer setup produced values squarely in the favored bin. Lower-probability outcomes like 47°F or below (50%) or narrower mid-50s ranges remain possible only if an alternate station or post-analysis revision shifts the official minimum, though such adjustments are rare once METAR records close. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the precise official minimum reported by the primary data source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,420Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on the 58-59°F range (93% implied probability) due to official observational data from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) METAR reports.** These show overnight lows holding at 58°F through the early morning hours before rising under persistent overcast marine layer conditions, with daytime highs reaching only the mid-60s. This aligns with National Weather Service climate summaries and forecasts noting a deep, drizzle-prone marine layer that suppressed temperatures 10–15°F below late-August normals (average low ~56°F). The positioning reflects real-time verification of surface observations rather than models, as the date has passed and data are now finalized. Historical context reinforces this: all-time August 31 lows reach 51°F but recent years cluster near 55–58°F, and the current marine layer setup produced values squarely in the favored bin. Lower-probability outcomes like 47°F or below (50%) or narrower mid-50s ranges remain possible only if an alternate station or post-analysis revision shifts the official minimum, though such adjustments are rare once METAR records close. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the precise official minimum reported by the primary data source.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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