**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 23 project a daytime high of 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with an 80% chance of rain or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined 66% implied probability), as traders weigh frequent convective cloud cover and showers that limit solar heating against occasional clearer intervals allowing brief peaks near 33°C. High humidity (often 70–90%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs. El Niño conditions may subtly elevate baseline warmth but are secondary to short-term monsoon dynamics. New PAGASA updates or model runs on the 22nd–23rd represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds between the leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 23?
33°C 41%
32°C 37%
31°C 14%
30°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
28°C or below
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
11%
31°C
14%
32°C
37%
33°C
41%
34°C
8%
35°C
9%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 37%
31°C 14%
30°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
28°C or below
$5 KL.
3%
29°C
$33 KL.
9%
30°C
$5 KL.
11%
31°C
$5 KL.
14%
32°C
$89 KL.
37%
33°C
$10 KL.
41%
34°C
$0 KL.
8%
35°C
$5 KL.
9%
36°C
$15 KL.
10%
37°C
$5 KL.
2%
38°C or higher
$61 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 23 project a daytime high of 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with an 80% chance of rain or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined 66% implied probability), as traders weigh frequent convective cloud cover and showers that limit solar heating against occasional clearer intervals allowing brief peaks near 33°C. High humidity (often 70–90%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs. El Niño conditions may subtly elevate baseline warmth but are secondary to short-term monsoon dynamics. New PAGASA updates or model runs on the 22nd–23rd represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$233Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 23 project a daytime high of 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with an 80% chance of rain or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined 66% implied probability), as traders weigh frequent convective cloud cover and showers that limit solar heating against occasional clearer intervals allowing brief peaks near 33°C. High humidity (often 70–90%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs. El Niño conditions may subtly elevate baseline warmth but are secondary to short-term monsoon dynamics. New PAGASA updates or model runs on the 22nd–23rd represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$233Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 23 project a daytime high of 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with an 80% chance of rain or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined 66% implied probability), as traders weigh frequent convective cloud cover and showers that limit solar heating against occasional clearer intervals allowing brief peaks near 33°C. High humidity (often 70–90%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs. El Niño conditions may subtly elevate baseline warmth but are secondary to short-term monsoon dynamics. New PAGASA updates or model runs on the 22nd–23rd represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds between the leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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