Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover, driven by regional monsoon patterns and moisture influx, which limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C. Current conditions show a transition from clearer, hotter weather on September 19 (highs near 34–35°C) to widespread rain chances of 50–70% by Monday, with consensus highs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models clustering at 30–32°C. This scientific uncertainty in storm timing and intensity explains the tight market spread between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the cooling effect of precipitation. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
33°C 20%
35°C or higher 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
31%
33°C
20%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
17%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
33°C 20%
35°C or higher 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$111 KL.
<1%
26°C
$111 KL.
<1%
27°C
$111 KL.
<1%
28°C
$63 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
10%
30°C
$0 KL.
15%
31°C
$0 KL.
30%
32°C
$20 KL.
31%
33°C
$10 KL.
20%
34°C
$0 KL.
11%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover, driven by regional monsoon patterns and moisture influx, which limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C. Current conditions show a transition from clearer, hotter weather on September 19 (highs near 34–35°C) to widespread rain chances of 50–70% by Monday, with consensus highs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models clustering at 30–32°C. This scientific uncertainty in storm timing and intensity explains the tight market spread between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the cooling effect of precipitation. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$426Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover, driven by regional monsoon patterns and moisture influx, which limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C. Current conditions show a transition from clearer, hotter weather on September 19 (highs near 34–35°C) to widespread rain chances of 50–70% by Monday, with consensus highs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models clustering at 30–32°C. This scientific uncertainty in storm timing and intensity explains the tight market spread between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the cooling effect of precipitation. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$426Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover, driven by regional monsoon patterns and moisture influx, which limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C. Current conditions show a transition from clearer, hotter weather on September 19 (highs near 34–35°C) to widespread rain chances of 50–70% by Monday, with consensus highs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models clustering at 30–32°C. This scientific uncertainty in storm timing and intensity explains the tight market spread between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the cooling effect of precipitation. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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