Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 21 hinges on competing air-mass influences and model spread in a subtropical setting where seasonal transition amplifies variability. A northerly surge or strengthening high-pressure ridge could advect cooler continental air, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and pushing the low toward 22 °C or below, while persistent southerly monsoon flow or weak tropical disturbance would maintain warm, moist advection and limit cooling to 32 °C or higher. Cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects further modulate the diurnal range. With leading outcomes nearly even, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, awaiting updated CMA guidance and overnight observations that could resolve the temperature trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
32°C or higher 90%
22°C or below 86%
25°C 39%
28°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
86%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
90%
32°C or higher 90%
22°C or below 86%
25°C 39%
28°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
86%
23°C
$0 KL.
17%
24°C
$0 KL.
25%
25°C
$0 KL.
39%
26°C
$0 KL.
26%
27°C
$0 KL.
27%
28°C
$0 KL.
39%
29°C
$0 KL.
3%
30°C
$0 KL.
14%
31°C
$0 KL.
13%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 21 hinges on competing air-mass influences and model spread in a subtropical setting where seasonal transition amplifies variability. A northerly surge or strengthening high-pressure ridge could advect cooler continental air, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and pushing the low toward 22 °C or below, while persistent southerly monsoon flow or weak tropical disturbance would maintain warm, moist advection and limit cooling to 32 °C or higher. Cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects further modulate the diurnal range. With leading outcomes nearly even, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, awaiting updated CMA guidance and overnight observations that could resolve the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 21 hinges on competing air-mass influences and model spread in a subtropical setting where seasonal transition amplifies variability. A northerly surge or strengthening high-pressure ridge could advect cooler continental air, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and pushing the low toward 22 °C or below, while persistent southerly monsoon flow or weak tropical disturbance would maintain warm, moist advection and limit cooling to 32 °C or higher. Cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects further modulate the diurnal range. With leading outcomes nearly even, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, awaiting updated CMA guidance and overnight observations that could resolve the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 21 hinges on competing air-mass influences and model spread in a subtropical setting where seasonal transition amplifies variability. A northerly surge or strengthening high-pressure ridge could advect cooler continental air, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and pushing the low toward 22 °C or below, while persistent southerly monsoon flow or weak tropical disturbance would maintain warm, moist advection and limit cooling to 32 °C or higher. Cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects further modulate the diurnal range. With leading outcomes nearly even, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, awaiting updated CMA guidance and overnight observations that could resolve the temperature trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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