Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to clear, high-pressure conditions over the Seoul-Incheon region on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C—roughly 2–4 °C above the late-September climatological average. Light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover limit mixing and keep surface heating efficient, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius cap extreme warmth. Recent model runs show tight agreement on this range with little day-to-day shift, producing the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (47.5 %) and 27 °C (34 %). The modest probability on 29 °C captures residual uncertainty in exact station readings and any late-afternoon boundary-layer adjustments before official verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
28°C 47%
27°C 34%
29°C 12%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
34%
28°C
47%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 34%
29°C 12%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
$281 KL.
<1%
24°C
$341 KL.
<1%
25°C
$75 KL.
2%
26°C
$649 KL.
9%
27°C
$921 KL.
34%
28°C
$3,313 KL.
47%
29°C
$536 KL.
12%
30°C
$331 KL.
3%
31°C
$542 KL.
3%
32°C
$348 KL.
1%
33°C or higher
$135 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to clear, high-pressure conditions over the Seoul-Incheon region on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C—roughly 2–4 °C above the late-September climatological average. Light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover limit mixing and keep surface heating efficient, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius cap extreme warmth. Recent model runs show tight agreement on this range with little day-to-day shift, producing the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (47.5 %) and 27 °C (34 %). The modest probability on 29 °C captures residual uncertainty in exact station readings and any late-afternoon boundary-layer adjustments before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,473Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to clear, high-pressure conditions over the Seoul-Incheon region on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C—roughly 2–4 °C above the late-September climatological average. Light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover limit mixing and keep surface heating efficient, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius cap extreme warmth. Recent model runs show tight agreement on this range with little day-to-day shift, producing the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (47.5 %) and 27 °C (34 %). The modest probability on 29 °C captures residual uncertainty in exact station readings and any late-afternoon boundary-layer adjustments before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,473Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to clear, high-pressure conditions over the Seoul-Incheon region on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C—roughly 2–4 °C above the late-September climatological average. Light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover limit mixing and keep surface heating efficient, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius cap extreme warmth. Recent model runs show tight agreement on this range with little day-to-day shift, producing the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (47.5 %) and 27 °C (34 %). The modest probability on 29 °C captures residual uncertainty in exact station readings and any late-afternoon boundary-layer adjustments before official verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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