Forecast models for Cape Town on September 23 indicate a moderating spring day with southeasterly winds and increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable highs. Recent warmer anomalies earlier in the month, driven by clearer conditions and variable pressure systems, have given way to this cooler pattern, though uncertainty in exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps probabilities distributed across 20–24°C outcomes. The 27°C+ tail reflects residual model divergence or potential for clearer breaks, while lower probabilities align with stronger onshore flow typical of the region's Mediterranean climate. Updated NHC-style or local agency guidance on frontal approaches could refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 23?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 23?
27°C or higher 41%
26°C 35%
23°C 33%
24°C 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
17°C or below
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
33%
24°C
33%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C or higher
41%
27°C or higher 41%
26°C 35%
23°C 33%
24°C 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
17°C or below
$191 KL.
3%
18°C
$0 KL.
4%
19°C
$6 KL.
8%
20°C
$4 KL.
19%
21°C
$0 KL.
24%
22°C
$0 KL.
27%
23°C
$0 KL.
33%
24°C
$0 KL.
33%
25°C
$0 KL.
16%
26°C
$0 KL.
35%
27°C or higher
$22 KL.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Cape Town on September 23 indicate a moderating spring day with southeasterly winds and increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable highs. Recent warmer anomalies earlier in the month, driven by clearer conditions and variable pressure systems, have given way to this cooler pattern, though uncertainty in exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps probabilities distributed across 20–24°C outcomes. The 27°C+ tail reflects residual model divergence or potential for clearer breaks, while lower probabilities align with stronger onshore flow typical of the region's Mediterranean climate. Updated NHC-style or local agency guidance on frontal approaches could refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$223Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Cape Town on September 23 indicate a moderating spring day with southeasterly winds and increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable highs. Recent warmer anomalies earlier in the month, driven by clearer conditions and variable pressure systems, have given way to this cooler pattern, though uncertainty in exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps probabilities distributed across 20–24°C outcomes. The 27°C+ tail reflects residual model divergence or potential for clearer breaks, while lower probabilities align with stronger onshore flow typical of the region's Mediterranean climate. Updated NHC-style or local agency guidance on frontal approaches could refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$223Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Cape Town on September 23 indicate a moderating spring day with southeasterly winds and increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable highs. Recent warmer anomalies earlier in the month, driven by clearer conditions and variable pressure systems, have given way to this cooler pattern, though uncertainty in exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps probabilities distributed across 20–24°C outcomes. The 27°C+ tail reflects residual model divergence or potential for clearer breaks, while lower probabilities align with stronger onshore flow typical of the region's Mediterranean climate. Updated NHC-style or local agency guidance on frontal approaches could refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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