Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international sources point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Northerly winds ahead of an approaching southerly change are expected to moderate spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies and limited daytime heating keeping highs near the September climatological average of roughly 14°C. Current observations on September 20 show temperatures in the low-to-mid teens Celsius under similar flow, supporting trader consensus around 15°C at 57.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce modest upside risk to 16°C, while cooler scenarios remain lower probability absent a sharper frontal passage. Updated official guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
15°C 57%
16°C 32%
14°C 12%
17°C 2%
MỚI
$18,066 KL.
MỚI
$18,066 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
12%
15°C
57%
16°C
32%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 57%
16°C 32%
14°C 12%
17°C 2%
MỚI
$18,066 KL.
MỚI
$18,066 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$1,337 KL.
<1%
11°C
$987 KL.
<1%
12°C
$705 KL.
<1%
13°C
$1,280 KL.
1%
14°C
$3,003 KL.
12%
15°C
$5,099 KL.
57%
16°C
$3,332 KL.
32%
17°C
$1,298 KL.
2%
18°C
$226 KL.
<1%
19°C
$338 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$462 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international sources point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Northerly winds ahead of an approaching southerly change are expected to moderate spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies and limited daytime heating keeping highs near the September climatological average of roughly 14°C. Current observations on September 20 show temperatures in the low-to-mid teens Celsius under similar flow, supporting trader consensus around 15°C at 57.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce modest upside risk to 16°C, while cooler scenarios remain lower probability absent a sharper frontal passage. Updated official guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,066Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international sources point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Northerly winds ahead of an approaching southerly change are expected to moderate spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies and limited daytime heating keeping highs near the September climatological average of roughly 14°C. Current observations on September 20 show temperatures in the low-to-mid teens Celsius under similar flow, supporting trader consensus around 15°C at 57.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce modest upside risk to 16°C, while cooler scenarios remain lower probability absent a sharper frontal passage. Updated official guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$18,066Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international sources point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Northerly winds ahead of an approaching southerly change are expected to moderate spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies and limited daytime heating keeping highs near the September climatological average of roughly 14°C. Current observations on September 20 show temperatures in the low-to-mid teens Celsius under similar flow, supporting trader consensus around 15°C at 57.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce modest upside risk to 16°C, while cooler scenarios remain lower probability absent a sharper frontal passage. Updated official guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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