Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers project a daily high near 26°C in Busan on September 23 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 27–28°C outcomes. This setup reflects typical late-September conditions with moderate humidity and no incoming frontal systems or enhanced southerly flow that could push temperatures higher. Historical KMA climatology places average highs in the 24–26°C range for the period, so the current consensus implies slightly above-normal warmth from diurnal heating before any evening cloud increase. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official KMA briefings for refinements to cloud cover or wind patterns that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on September 23?
28°C 41%
27°C 30%
29°C 20%
26°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
30%
28°C
41%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
27°C 30%
29°C 20%
26°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
30%
28°C
41%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers project a daily high near 26°C in Busan on September 23 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 27–28°C outcomes. This setup reflects typical late-September conditions with moderate humidity and no incoming frontal systems or enhanced southerly flow that could push temperatures higher. Historical KMA climatology places average highs in the 24–26°C range for the period, so the current consensus implies slightly above-normal warmth from diurnal heating before any evening cloud increase. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official KMA briefings for refinements to cloud cover or wind patterns that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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