Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C for Busan on September 23, consistent with late-September climatology where average minima decline from ~20°C to 18°C amid waning East Asian monsoon influence and cooling sea-surface temperatures around 24–25°C. The near-even market split between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and northeasterly winds, which can either enhance or suppress temperature drops by several degrees. Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to wind direction and boundary-layer mixing, while stable high pressure favors clear conditions that could allow deeper cooling than currently projected. Updated KMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the primary variables driving these divergences.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Busan on September 23?
12°C or below 100%
22°C or higher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
98%
12°C or below 100%
22°C or higher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C for Busan on September 23, consistent with late-September climatology where average minima decline from ~20°C to 18°C amid waning East Asian monsoon influence and cooling sea-surface temperatures around 24–25°C. The near-even market split between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and northeasterly winds, which can either enhance or suppress temperature drops by several degrees. Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to wind direction and boundary-layer mixing, while stable high pressure favors clear conditions that could allow deeper cooling than currently projected. Updated KMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the primary variables driving these divergences.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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