Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project Beijing's September 23 high near 29–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds shifting northeast. This positions 32°C and 33°C as leading market outcomes because modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and daytime insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Warmer scenarios hinge on clearer breaks allowing greater solar heating, while cooler ones reflect increased cloudiness or earlier northeast advection. Low probabilities for extremes below 29°C or above 34°C align with climatological norms for late September and current stable synoptic pattern, with resolution depending on official observations near 14:00 local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on September 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 23?
31°C 30%
32°C 30%
30°C 23%
34°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
23%
31°C
30%
32°C
30%
33°C
16%
34°C
19%
35°C
17%
36°C or higher
18%
31°C 30%
32°C 30%
30°C 23%
34°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
26°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
27°C
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$15 KL.
7%
30°C
$0 KL.
23%
31°C
$0 KL.
30%
32°C
$0 KL.
30%
33°C
$15 KL.
16%
34°C
$0 KL.
19%
35°C
$0 KL.
17%
36°C or higher
$0 KL.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project Beijing's September 23 high near 29–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds shifting northeast. This positions 32°C and 33°C as leading market outcomes because modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and daytime insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Warmer scenarios hinge on clearer breaks allowing greater solar heating, while cooler ones reflect increased cloudiness or earlier northeast advection. Low probabilities for extremes below 29°C or above 34°C align with climatological norms for late September and current stable synoptic pattern, with resolution depending on official observations near 14:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project Beijing's September 23 high near 29–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds shifting northeast. This positions 32°C and 33°C as leading market outcomes because modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and daytime insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Warmer scenarios hinge on clearer breaks allowing greater solar heating, while cooler ones reflect increased cloudiness or earlier northeast advection. Low probabilities for extremes below 29°C or above 34°C align with climatological norms for late September and current stable synoptic pattern, with resolution depending on official observations near 14:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project Beijing's September 23 high near 29–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds shifting northeast. This positions 32°C and 33°C as leading market outcomes because modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and daytime insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Warmer scenarios hinge on clearer breaks allowing greater solar heating, while cooler ones reflect increased cloudiness or earlier northeast advection. Low probabilities for extremes below 29°C or above 34°C align with climatological norms for late September and current stable synoptic pattern, with resolution depending on official observations near 14:00 local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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